All workContact

Investment banking

M&A case studies: how a deal was run. Hieu Van Nguyen

Every deal gets the same summary: the situation, the objective, the strategy, how the process ran, how it closed and what it showed. The main case is the sale of a public company to a private equity firm, drawn from the shape of a real public transaction. Names and dollar amounts are changed. Step through the days of the process, test the offer against each valuation method, and see why the board said no twice before it said yes.

What this shows

  • A day-by-day timeline from first approach to closing, with the decision made at each step

  • The bid ladder: what was offered, what the board did with it, and how the price moved

  • The valuation work behind the decision: comparable companies, precedent deals, premiums paid and a DCF, tested against the offer

  • The post-signing market check: how many parties were contacted, how many signed confidentiality agreements and what came back

  • A standard deal summary: situation, objective, strategy, process, close and lessons

Sample build: M&A case studies

Three deals told with the same standard summary. The main case is the sale of Company A, an invented stand-in name, to a private equity firm, drawn from the shape of a real public transaction. Two shorter cards follow it. Prices are an index where the last unaffected price is 100.0.

Names and dollar amounts are changed. Counts, ratios and timing are representative of how the process ran. Presented for illustration.

Agreed price (index)

139.2

Unaffected price = 100.0

Premium to unaffected

39%

49% to one week before, 71% to four weeks before

Go-shop proposals

0 of 30

Parties contacted that made a proposal

Proposal to close

155 days

69 days to signing

All prices are an index (unaffected price = 100.0). Names and amounts are changed, for illustration.

What to try

  • Read Outcome and What was hard side by side. The price is inside or above most valuation ranges, and the DCF is the exception.

Standard deal summary

Case 1: sale of a public company to a private equity firm, with a go-shop

Company A, a US-listed maker of precision components for medical devices, and Sponsor A, a healthcare-focused private equity firm.

Situation
  • Company A is a US-listed maker of precision components for medical devices, owned by public shareholders and run by a president and chief executive plus an interim chief financial officer.
  • Revenue was uneven: an index of 100.0, 99.7, 90.3, 109.9 over the four most recent years, oldest first.
  • The largest customer was expected to be about 61 percent of next year's revenue.
  • Sponsor A met the chair and chief executive 91 days before it put a written proposal to the company.
Objective
  • Reach a price that met the board's view of value. The first two proposals fell short of it.
  • Keep a high chance of closing: committed equity, no financing condition and limited closing conditions.
  • Leave room for a better offer after signing, through a go-shop.
Strategy
  • Reject the first range, say why, and keep talking under a confidentiality agreement with a standstill.
  • Bring in the advisor once the bid was credible, before the price was final.
  • Grant exclusivity for a short time only, with a way out for a better offer.
  • Choose a negotiated deal with a go-shop over a full auction first.
  • Negotiate the protections as hard as the price.
How the process ran
  • Three proposals in 28 days: 109.1 to 114.8, then 134.9, then 139.2.
  • The advisor was engaged and the data room opened on day 42. Exclusivity was signed on day 43.
  • Diligence ran in order: data room, site visit and management presentation (day 49), then a financial session with the auditor and the advisor (day 50).
  • The first draft merger agreement came on day 57 and the board signed on day 69, which is 69 days after the first proposal.
How it closed
  • The board approved unanimously on day 69 after the advisor gave its fairness opinion. The deal was signed that evening and announced on day 70.
  • A 35-day go-shop (45 days for a qualifying bidder) ran from day 70 to day 104.
  • 30 parties were contacted, 10 signed confidentiality agreements, 7 held management meetings and none made a proposal.
  • Shareholders approved on day 155 and the deal closed the same day, 86 days after signing.
Outcome
  • The agreed price is 139.2 against an unaffected 100.0, a premium of 39 percent.
  • That is 49 percent above the price a week earlier and 71 percent above the price four weeks earlier. For 60 completed deals the means were 34 and 41 percent.
  • From the first proposal to the agreed price the offer rose about 21 to 28 percent.
  • The fee during the go-shop ended at 1.2 percent (3.0 in the first draft), the fee after it at 1.7 percent (4.5) and the reverse fee at 2.5 percent (5.0).
  • The price is inside or above 7 of 8 valuation ranges. Only the DCF, at 140.6 to 172.7, is higher.
What was hard
  • One customer was about 61 percent of next year's revenue against a median of 21 percent for the 28 deals, and the advisor set the terminal multiple range with that in mind.
  • Growth and profit had been hard to sustain.
  • The DCF, at 140.6 to 172.7, sat above the agreed price.
  • Some directors and officers had interests that differed from other shareholders, and management's own employment and equity terms with the buyer had not been discussed before signing.
What it showed
  • A first offer is a signal, not a price: the offer rose about 21 to 28 percent in four weeks.
  • An empty go-shop is itself evidence that the price was full.
  • Protections are negotiated item by item, not only the price.
  • Customer concentration changes how a company is valued.
  • The shareholder vote ends the process but is not a formality: the proxy has to tell the whole story.

Day 0 (First written proposal: 109.1 to 114.8). Price on the table: 109.1 to 114.8 (under review). With the offer set at 139.2, the premium to the unaffected price is 39.2 percent and the offer is inside or above 7 of 8 valuation ranges.

How I use it

  • Explaining to a board why a first offer should be rejected and how to keep the buyer engaged

  • Choosing between a full auction, a negotiated deal with a go-shop and a single-buyer negotiation

  • Writing the summary of a deal so a reader knows what happened and why